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2/26/2014

Oscar Predictions 2014

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Hello Internet! How are you? Ready to have some fun? I sure hope so! It's that time of year. The Oscars are just days away, and it's time for me to share my thoughts on who I think will win the various awards. So, I won't keep you! Please enjoy my OFFICIAL (lol) Oscar predictions for 2014! 

(Note: the favorites category was determined with Vegas odds by consulting http://www.oddschecker.com/awards/oscars AFTER I made my predictions. I then wrote the spin section.)
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Writing: Original Screenplay
Who deserves it: Her
Who's the favorite: Her
Spin: The screenplays are going to be some of the closer battles this year. I think Her takes it because it won the Globe and it is an incredibly original take on the future. And the story is, you know, flawless. Though watch out for a dark horse win from American Hustle!

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Writing: Adapted Screenplay
Who deserves it: The Wolf of Wall Street
Who's the favorite: 12 Years A Slave
Spin: Another close battle, I personally am torn virtually right down the middle on this one. I am told that Wolf of Wall Street stayed very loyal to the book, as well as 12 Years A Slave, but I'd want to see Wall Street win just because of the craziness of that story. However, I fully expect 12 Years to win in order to be politically correct. I'm ok with this decision here.

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Visual Effects
Who deserves it: Gravity
Who's the favorite: 12 Years a Slave (NOBODY WILL SEE THIS COMING)
Spin: This is the biggest favorite in Oscar history. While the obvious snub in this category is no Pacific Rim in favor of the freaking Lone Ranger, (the FREAKING Lone Ranger, guys....) not even it would stand even the slightest chance against Gravity. Avatar could not compete with it. To date, it is easily the best looking movie in cinema history. No denying this.

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Sound Mixing
Who deserves it: Gravity
Who's the favorite: Gravity
Spin: Ya there's going to be a trend. Gravity will very likely win a lot, if not ALL, of the technical categories. Just, be ready for a clean sweep here.

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Sound Editing
Who deserves it: Gravity
Who's the favorite: Gravity
Spin: Remember that trend thing I was talking about....?


Seriously though. The sound in Gravity was as amazing as the visual effects. I fully expect Gravity to win both of these categories. I don't even foresee a dark horse.

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Short Film (Live Action)
Who deserves it: N/A
Who's the favorite: The Voorman Problem
Spin: Ya if I was getting paid I would've investigated this category. Sue me. Though after seeing the fact that this short stars Martin Freeman and Tom Hollander I kind of want to go find it! It's also a clear favorite, according to Vegas odds.

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Short Film (Animated)
Who deserves it: Get A Horse!
Who's the favorite: Get A Horse!
Spin: While I haven't seen all of them, I can say that Get A Horse! was amazing, and is the heavy heavy favorite to win this category. Actually, as I remember it further, Get A Horse! was, like, really amazing. It debuted before Frozen if my memory holds true and I remember thinking that was one of the coolest things I've ever seen. If it did debut before Frozen, then everyone's seen it and thus you can back me up on this!

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Production Design
Who deserves it: 12 Years A Slave
Who's the favorite: The Great Gatsby
Spin: Production design has always been a tough one for me to predict, however I loved the production design of 12 Years A Slave and Her. However Gatsby is coming in as the favorite here. If there's one thing Baz Luhmann can get right, it's production design. Even if the movie was not very good. Gravity is my dark horse. Yes, I did just name four of the five movies here. Honestly, this category is wide open for any of the five movies to win. (American Hustle is the fifth) But I think at the end of the day it will be 12 Years a Slave holding the Oscar.

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Original Song
Who deserves it: Let It Go (Frozen)
Who's the favorite: Let It Go (Frozen)
Spin: It appears that the cultural phenomenon that is Frozen and the millions of people that sing Let It Go in their car (cough cough) and have no idea there are any other songs up for Oscar contention might trump Hollywood's desire to be politically correct, like the Globes were, in giving Bono an Oscar. But between Let It Go and Ordinary Love....Let It Go is vastly better. And the deserving victor.

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Original Score
Who deserves it: Saving Mr. Banks
Who's the favorite: Gravity
Spin: I picked Banks here in part because it has no other nominations. I did absolutely love the score, and it was my favorite from 2013, but it is primarily based off of existing work in Mary Poppins, so it's not exactly original. However if I got a second pick, it would absolutely be Gravity. That score was equally as incredible as Banks. In short, I hope Banks wins, but I would not be surprised if Gravity hears its name called.

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Makeup and Hairstyling
Who deserves it: Dallas Buyers Club
Who's the favorite: Dallas Buyers Club
Spin: The odds on this one are the same as the visual effects category with Gravity. And it is well-deserved. Jared Leto's transformation is one for the ages. Plus it helps when you have no competition whatsoever. Though shoutout to the Jackass crew for getting a nomination! They should be proud of that.

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Foreign Language Film
Who deserves it: N/A
Who's the favorite: The Great Beauty
Spin: Again, if I was getting paid I would've seen these. I love that the Academy has this category, but still...these are all tough watches. Beauty is a rather heavy favorite though. The dark horse is The Hunt. According to Vegas.

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Film Editing
Who deserves it: Gravity
Who's the favorite: Gravity
Spin: It's criminal that Wolf of Wall Street isn't on this list. After all editing is what Scorsese does best. And when Russell's American Hustle is on here, which borrows editing elements from Scorsese, it's salt in the wound. Not that it matters, however. This should be Gravity's once again to lose. Though watch out for Captain Phillips as a dark horse! If Gravity is not going to win one of the technical categories, it will be this one. And it will be to Captain Phillips.

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Documentary Short Subject
Who deserves it: N/A
Who's the favorite: The Lady In Number 6
Spin: Again, if money were a thing....however I will say that there's a lot of buzz surrounding The Lady In Number 6. And it's a pretty clear favorite at the moment. Facing Fear may be a dark horse, though.

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Documentary Feature
Who deserves it: 20 Feet From Stardom
Who's the favorite: The Act of Killing
Spin: This one should be a close one. One of the closer battles of the 2014 Oscars. However this is all in the shadow of my and many other's best documentary of 2013, Blackfish, not getting a nomination. Under the table deals here? Hm....

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Costume Design
Who deserves it: American Hustle
Who's the favorite: The Great Gatsby
Spin: One of the closest battles this year, this category is really a three-way race between Hustle, Gatsby, and 12 Years a Slave. I want to see Hustle win because of the reverence it has for 70's attire, with the wardrobe for everyone just absolutely AMAZING (I would wear some of those costumes even now) but Gatsby will likely win because of the attention to detail paid in the movie and the sheer multitude of costumes. Though the movie was still terrible, so who knows? The votes might be split between Hustle and Gatsby and thus it will give 12 Years a Slave a chance to win. We'll see! Also this is the only Oscar I think American Hustle really has a good shoot of winning, so I hope they pull it off.


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Cinematography
Who deserves it: Gravity
Who's the favorite: Gravity
Spin: The 13 minute single-shot opening to this movie is already becoming one of the greatest all-time moments in cinema history. Not to mention the rest of the movie. All other arguments are invalid.

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Animated Feature Film
Who deserves it: Frozen
Who's the favorite: The Emperor's New Groove (Because we're about to go over a huge waterfall. With sharp rocks at the bottom.)
Spin: Let it go. Let it go! Can't hold it back anyAW DAMNIT. Can't get this song out of my head! Maybe building a snowman will do the trick. Do you want to build a snoF*CK!

Seriously though. This is a sure-thing if there ever was one. Even before it swept the nation. Actually there's a joke in this category where one of the betting sites hosted on oddschecker.com has 9-1 odds on any movie other than Frozen winning this category. 9-1! I think they got this.

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Best Supporting Actress
Who deserves it: Lupita Nyong'o (12 Years a Slave)
Who's the favorite: Lupita Nyong'o (12 Years a Slave)
Spin: Personally, I loved June Squibb in Nebraska, but I know there is no chance she's going to win. However, Lupita Nyong'o deserves to win this award. Her first full-length performance in the business too. I look forward to seeing what she has to offer in the future. Is she the next Jennifer Lawrence? We'll see. Oh, speaking of Jennifer Lawrence, she's still a thing. So, if anyone is going to get this award over Nyong'o it's her. Because the Academy loves Jennifer Lawrence. Along with the rest of the world. Including myself. Because.....oh I'm sorry I got distracted by the awesomeness of Jennifer Lawrence. Now, where were we?

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Best Supporting Actor
Who deserves it: Jared Leto (Dallas Buyers Club)
Who's the favorite: Jared Leto (Dallas Buyers Club)
Spin: I really wish Leto didn't have this performance in 2013, because the fanboy inside me really wants Cooper to win....

But Leto is the heavy heavy favorite here, and deservedly so. He was fantastic. One of the best performances overall of 2013. Of all four acting categories, this one is the closest to a sure-thing.

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Best Actress
Who deserves it: Amy Adams (American Hustle)
Who's the favorite: Cate Blanchett (Blue Jasmine)
Spin: I love Amy Adams. I won't deny it for a second. But I thought her performance in American Hustle was the best part of American Hustle. Flawlessly switching between a British and American accent, Adams managed to play two entirely different characters in the same movie, requiring a huge range of emotions. While Blanchett was outstanding in Blue Jasmine, and is the clear favorite in this category, I really think Adams will upset her. And I'm sticking to it. I think this will be the big upset of the Oscars this year.

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Best Actor
Who deserves it: Leonardo DiCaprio (The Wolf of Wall Street)
Who's the favorite: Mattew McConaughey (Dallas Buyers Club)
Spin: I want Leo to finally get his Oscar so badly. Not only that, but this is the best performance I've ever seen from him. However, while he is the deserving actor, picking him would be political suicide for the Academy. Look for the safe picks, either slavery in Ejiofor or AIDS in McConaughey. One of these years, Leo.....
Oh ya, do you like the picture? That's the perfect, "Could you please give me a freaking Oscar?" pose from Leo. PLEASE? No? Oh well at least he was nominated. More than we can say about Robert Redford....

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Best Director
Who deserves it: Alfonso Cuaron (Gravity)
Who's the favorite: Alfonso Cuaron (Gravity)
Spin: Gravity is Cuaron's brainchild. Another heavy favorite, no way he doesn't get this award. Though I would never be opposed to Scorsese dark horsing here. However I fear this may be the highest honor this movie gets.

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Best Picture
Who deserves it: Gravity
Who's the favorite: 12 Years a Slave
Spin: I'm going to be pissed when 12 Years a Slave wins. The movie is the very definition of Oscar bait: a period piece about something that we feel bad about with a bunch of recognizable actors. It's not a bad movie, by any means, but in my opinion every movie on the Best Picture list is better than it, with the exception of MAYBE Nebraska. There. I said it. And 20 years from now, no one will remember this movie. They will, however, remember Gravity. You can take that to the bank. Yay Hollywood being politically correct! Sorry. I know people will come to the aid of 12 Years A Slave, but we all know it's not the deserving victor....

So there you have it! Thanks again for reading and here's to hoping this list was at least somewhat entertaining/educational! I love you. No. Seriously. I. Love. You. I felt like now was the appropriate time to share this fact with you. React to it how you please, but it was better for me to lay my cards on the table than leave you in the dark. Wanna go find Amy Adams and Leonardo DiCaprio and play a quick game of Monopoly? Ok sweet. 
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Photo Credits
The Oscars: http://fairytalepictures.files.wordpress.com/2013/10/oscars.jpg
Her: http://www.impawards.com/2013/posters/her_xlg.jpg
The Wolf of Wall Street: http://www.impawards.com/2013/posters/wolf_of_wall_street_ver3.jpg
Gravity: http://www.impawards.com/2013/posters/gravity_xlg.jpg
The Voorman Problem: http://ilarge.listal.com/image/6275903/936full-the-voorman-problem-poster.jpg
Get A Horse!: http://www.cartoonbrew.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/06/getahorse-mickey-poster-580x867.jpg
12 Years A Slave: http://caaspeakers.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/01/RidleyJ_12-Years-a-Slave_Poster.jpg
Frozen: http://www.comingsoon.net/nextraimages/frozen-poster-small.jpg
Saving Mr. Banks: http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/en/0/0d/Saving_Mr._Banks_Theatrical_Poster.jpg
Dallas Buyers Club: http://www.impawards.com/2013/posters/dallas_buyers_club_ver2.jpg
The Great Beauty: http://img1.gomolo.com/images/news/284/12263_poster-of-the-great-beauty.jpg
The Lady In Number 6: http://nickreedent.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/05/The-Lady-In-Number-6-Poster-1125x1500.jpg
20 Feet from Stardom:                                                                                                                   http://25.media.tumblr.com/04ad958a6170ec2bd9f13461d7819ca0/tumblr_mm6mcw3TR61sn7wjto1_1280.jpg
American Hustle: http://moviepronews.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/11/AMERICAN-HUSTLE-Poster.jpg
Lupita Nyong'o: http://www.studiosystemnews.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/01/lupita-12-years-a-slave.jpg
Jared Leto: http://static.rogerebert.com/uploads/blog_post/primary_image/interviews/jared-leto-talks-about-his-latest-transformation-in-dallas-buyers-club/primary_DallasBuyersClub-2013-4.jpg
Amy Adams: http://www.hollywoodreporter.com/sites/default/files/2013/12/amy_adams_wardrobe_malfunction_a_p.jpg
Leonardo DiCaprio: http://highlighthollywood.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/12/Wolf-2.jpg
Alfonso Cuaron: http://www.hollywoodreporter.com/sites/default/files/2014/01/GVD01381.jpg
Statues: http://weminoredinfilm.files.wordpress.com/2013/02/academy-awards-statues.jpg

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